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XAUUSD is the exchange rate quote for Gold vs US dollar. Exchange rate weakened today by 120$ on Mon, 4th of May, 2026. We are discussing a weekly trade that could have been taken today using a simple strategy of using the highs and lows of weekly candles, aka the wicks, as support and resistance zones, while utilising the open price as a reference price against these points.
Weekly trades are easier to plan. Higher risk to reward ratios. Entire weekend to scour price action across assets. Since weekly timeframe is a higher timeframe we are positioning ourselves with the tide, rather than against. Using this simple methodology, we can get a fair idea of short term movement where price may react.
We zoom in to execute on a smaller TF.
Now this trade, fundamentally speaking was more likely to go the way it did. Why? Tensions in Middle East have relatively eased for the time being and Gold had a spectacular run up because of Iran war and inflation fears related to increasing oil prices and USD weakening because of uncertain US policy so Gold eventually soared quite a bit and when an asset soars quite a bit, quite fast, it is likely to pullback which Gold does just as fast. We also see that last 2 candles are bearish which increased the chances of a downside move.
Whether this may sustain till end of week is a different issue, but the goal is to plan either high probability trades or high win rate scalps around the best possible intel we possess at a specific point in time to increase odds of success. As new price action data comes in, we plan and adjust accordingly managing our drawdown at all times.
Have a look at the charts below:
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